U17 Wm

[chriscol]

for those who need some action thuis morning


Germany- Gahna: Germany -0.5,pk @ 2.1

open game with two solid team..germany with slight advantage.
over jumped from 2.75 to 3.5 !!! this morning..that s to risky..maybe even woth a play on the under, but probvably not

Columbia- T&T Columbia -1.5 @2.0 !! 2 units!!

big play here..t&T lost 1-4 to Ghana not really having a chance. Columbia is a very solid team in this age group. 3-3 vs. Germany to start.

total moved to 3.25 from 2.75 over night. if you want to play the over it s still ok IMO, but side is better. the risk is that t&T does not score

Tunesia-USA: Tunesia pk @ 2.0 over 3,3.5 @1.9

Tunesia should be the better team here. They won impressive vs. Belgium 4-2 although being down a man for almost a half. USA lost 3-4 to Tajikistan. i did not know that they are playing football in tatjikistan and thought that the USA has at least some good youngsters in football, when the a-team is already crap, but loosing this is not a good sign.

the total moved from 3 to 3.25. both teams have shown that they can score..and if you give up 4 to tatjikistan you will definetely concide some vs. Tunesia. over stilla play at 3.25

Belgium- Tatjikistan: over 3,3.5 @ 1.90

total moved from 2.75 to 3.25 !!! over night. I grabbed it as a big play on 2.75, but would still make it a play here at 3.25.
Same stoty as above. if tatjik can score 4 vs. usa they should have some firepower, but conciding 3 is also not a good sign when playinga solid european team desperate for a win.

Belgium might be the right side at -0.5,,but not too sure of that.




Be careful as there were big line moves overnight in direction of these plays. fortunately i got them all early, but at the moment as a real play is only columbia.everything else i picked above is ok, if you like some action in the morning

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

so far 3-0 on the day

Germany 3-2
Tunesia 3-1

 

[chriscol]

The big play Columbia 5-0
Belgium 1-0

 

[Corkey]

Nice job on the plays, just sorry I seen them to late


Keep them coming

 

[rhinooooo]

Unbelievable capping there Chriscol. Wish I'd seen this earlier aswell.

 

[chriscol]

when they put up lines, i ll probably post plays for tomorrow around 7 pm ET

 

[fhmesq44]

when they put up lines, i ll probably post plays for tomorrow around 7 pm ET

that would be great for all of your plays. I have missed just about all of them being on the west coast.

 

[rhinooooo]

Thanks. Look forward to reading about it.

How did you go about betting on this tournament? Did you get some good info on a few matches or did you always plan to cap it because of some possible loose lines?

 

[chriscol]

actually i missed out the first two days..then i saw usa-tajikistan..and thought that could be fun. got me interested.
and then i started capping..mainly from info on fifa.com.
some nice stats and quotes from the coach which let you get at least some feel for the team.
i like those kind of tourneys especially in group stages as they are often mismatches. that together with youngsters playing probably not so tactically strong, which meas for example that a brazilien 16 year old boy just enjoys football and scoring...even when up by 4 goals, while the men team probably would start defending the result or safing energy...these kids come to play, so lots of predictable scoring going on in the tourney.

 

[Costanza]

quality stuff Chriscol !

can you tell what time the odds will be online in your german time zone ?

 

[rolltide]

congrats !! was after 3am posting though for two games that started at 4am so impossible to follow, but phenomenal job with these

 

[chriscol]

i am waiting for pinnies lines up. normally they have them already, but not yet..looking to post them tonight (here in germany) so you US-guys can follow

 

[chriscol]

sorry guys, still no lines at pinny and i have to leave for work now. here is what i found

Brazil-England: Brazil

I found Brazil in 3 way-betting at 1.7-1.8...what ever the asian line is at this price it s the biggest bet of the day.
Brazil is the far superior team. Brazil has secured already spot in next round but that doesent matter.
They beat Korea 5-0 and NZ 7-0, while England beat NZ 5-0 and drew Korea 1-1

Korea- NZ: if line is -1.5 or lower than take Korea.
They need the win. NZ is no match at all and goals diff is important for Korea.

Togo- s.Korea: Toga at approx. pk,+0.5

open match, but i still think africans are better. skorea struggles to score.

BOL to all

 

[hm2.0]

Watching the Brazil v. England (U17) match for future reference. Dang, U17 WC is gonna screw up my sleeping pattern just like the WC did last summer.

Hope you cash the Brazil game, chris.

 

[Preussen]

Brazil fails us. :-(
HM, if you watched the game, was it bad luck or was England really better?

 

[betmaaaan]

i think it was bad luck

 

[rolltide]

from uefa.com

Brilliant England top Brazil

England will go into the FIFA U-17 World Cup knockout phase as serious contenders for the title after they moved through from the group stage with a superb 2-1 win against favourites Brazil in Korea Republic.

 

[chriscol]

finally there are some early lines (or lines at all) available again.

i was paper picking syria (2-0 winner) and japan (1-2--would have pushed) today..so at least capping wise back on track for the tourney.

last day of groupe stage

Germany- T&T: over 3.5 @ 1.85

Germany is already qualified winning 32 vs. very strong ghana and drew 3-3 vs. also strong columbia. now they are facing the weakest team in group which lost 1-4 to ghana and 0-5 to columbia. lines is currently at -2,-2.5 but already down to just 1.65 so i expect it to move to -2.5 for germany.
this is possible, but germany will rest some players. amoung them key midfield player Kroos.therefore -2.5 is always a lot infootball.
on the other hand germany will go for the group win. if they finish second in group they would face brazil in quarters , which nobody wants.
situation to finish first is that germany has 4 points and +1 goals, while columbia has 4 points and +5 goals (with a very tough game vs. ghana pending). that would mean in case columbia wins (which is not sure) germany has to win by at least 5 goals.
with the moving odds on the side, i like the over as an option much more. even t&t can help on that.

USA- Belgium over 2.5,3 @1.85

Belgium need a point to be sure of quaters, while the US has to win and go for at least a 2 goal win (they still would need help from tunesia in other match).
so far the USA lost 3-4 to tatjikistan and 1-3 to Tunesia, so scoring on both sides should be possible.
Belgium lost 2-4 to Tunesa andwon 1-0 on last second vs. tatjikistan.

Tunesia- Tatjikistan: Tunesia pk-0.5 @ 1.90

Tunesia is the much btter team already qualifed with 2 wins. Tatjikistan is a surprising solid team.But even with Tunesi maybe resing players they will not put the top spot at risk. at these odds i have to take them even i like the two other play much more.

BOL to all

 

[Costanza]

thanks Chris, gonna see if the good odds are still available
** most of the value is gone, hard to be soon enough to get the good odd.
Descided to pas on these.

good luck with the bets !

 

[chriscol]

Germany moved to -3 and the total 4,4.5.
it s too late in the day, but for future porpose: has anybody experience in middeling football games? when does it make sense?